在市场中长期生存,必须要有明确的交易方法。我慢慢总结出自己的交易原则:不猜测市场走向,只跟随大趋势;不追求每次都赚钱,只抓住成功概率高的机会。
- 判断趋势方向是关键
EMA20均线(黄色线)是判断涨跌的重要标准:当价格站稳这条线,并且5日均线向上突破上轨时,说明上涨趋势形成,这时只考虑买入;相反,如果5日均线跌破下轨,就说明可能要下跌了。
ATR通道能过滤假信号:市场大多数时候都在震荡,这个动态通道能帮我们识别真正的突破。价格在通道内波动时就观望,等突破后再跟着趋势操作,避免被假突破欺骗。
- 结合形态和动能提高成功率
出现紫色底部信号同时配合红色买入信号时,成功概率很高:当K线形成底部形态,同时动能指标达到买入标准时,往往是行情启动的好时机。
出现蓝色顶部信号配合绿色卖出信号时要及时卖出:顶部形态出现加上动能减弱,提醒我们要及时获利了结,不能太贪心。
- 严格遵守交易纪律
只做符合条件的交易:必须同时满足趋势方向、动能指标和K线形态都符合要求时才进场,不能冲动交易。
严格执行止损:买入后如果价格跌破通道下沿,立即止损;做空时如果突破上沿,马上平仓。
- 保持良好心态
以前总想抓住每一个涨跌,结果频繁交易反而亏钱。现在明白了”少即是多”的道理:
每个月只要抓住2-3次好机会,收益就能超过大盘
错过机会也不要后悔,市场永远都有新机会


文华财经指标:
CHL:=EMA(C,5);
密码线:EMA(C,20),COLORYELLOW,CIRCLEDOT;
N:=1.618,COLORGREEN;
M:=1.618,COLORGREEN;
MTR:=MAX(MAX((HIGH-LOW),ABS(REF(CLOSE,1)-HIGH)),ABS(REF(CLOSE,1)-LOW));
ATR:=MA(MTR,18);
HH:=密码线+N*ATR,COLOR454545,NODRAW;
LL:=密码线-M*ATR,COLOR454545,NODRAW;
A1R:=IF(CROSS(CHL,HH),1,IF(CROSS(LL,CHL),-1,0));
A2R:=REF(A1R,BARSLAST(A1R));
A3R:=IF(A2R=1,LL,IF(A2R=-1,HH,0)),NODRAW;
HHS:=CHL>=A3R;
LLS:=CHL<=A3R;
STICKLINE1(C>0,HH,LL,5,0),COLOR333300 ;
STICKLINE1(HHS,HH,LL,5,0),COLOR000033 ;
HHH:HH,COLOR686868;
LLL:LL,COLOR686868;
LC:=REF(CLOSE,1);
N11:=IF(PERIOD=7,2,IF(PERIOD=6,3,7));
N12:=IF(PERIOD=7,3,IF(PERIOD=6,6,IF(PERIOD=5,14,IF(PERIOD=4,14,IF(PERIOD=3,14,21)))));
N13:=IF(PERIOD=7,6,IF(PERIOD=6,12,IF(PERIOD=5,21,IF(PERIOD=4,21,IF(PERIOD=3,21,28)))));
R1:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-LC,0),N11,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-LC),N11,1)*100,NODRAW;
R2:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-LC,0),N12,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-LC),N12,1)*100,NODRAW;
R3:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-LC,0),N13,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-LC),N13,1)*100,NODRAW;
A1R1:=IF(CROSS(R1,65),1,IF(CROSS(45,R1),-1,0));
A2R1:=REF(A1R1,BARSLAST(A1R1));
A3R1:=IF(A2R1=1,45,IF(A2R1=-1,65,0)),NODRAW;
A1R2:=IF(CROSS(R2,60),1,IF(CROSS(40,R2),-1,0));
A2R2:=REF(A1R2,BARSLAST(A1R2));
A3R2:=IF(A2R2=1,40,IF(A2R2=-1,60,0)),NODRAW;
看多:HHS AND R1>=A3R1,COLORRED,NODRAW;
看空:LLS AND R1<=A3R1,COLORGREEN,NODRAW;
振荡:看多<>1 AND 看空<>1,COLOR888888,NODRAW;
HS:=看多;
LS:=看空;
灰K:=HS<>1 AND LS<>1;
W2:=OPEN-CLOSE;
V00:= HIGH<REF(HIGH,1) AND LOW<REF(LOW,1);
V01:= HIGH<REF(HIGH,1) AND LOW>REF(LOW,1);
V02:= HIGH>REF(HIGH,1) AND LOW<REF(LOW,1);
V03:= HIGH>REF(HIGH,1) AND LOW>REF(LOW,1);
V04:= REF(HIGH,2) < HIGH AND REF(LOW,2) < LOW AND REF(HIGH,2) > REF(HIGH,1) AND REF(LOW,2) < REF(LOW,1);
V1:= COUNT(V00,3)>=1 AND LLVBARS(LOW,3) = 1 AND V03 AND C>=O;
V2:= COUNT(V00,4)>=1 AND LLVBARS(LOW,4) = 2 AND V04 AND C>=O;
V3:= COUNT(V00,4)>=1 AND COUNT(V01 OR V02,4)=1 AND LLVBARS(LOW,4) = 1 AND V03 AND C>=O;
V4:= COUNT(V00,5)>=1 AND COUNT(V01 OR V02,5)=2 AND LLVBARS(LOW,5) = 2 AND V04 AND C>=O;
底分型:=V1 OR V2 OR V3 OR V4;
AV00:= HIGH>REF(HIGH,1) AND LOW>REF(LOW,1);
AV01:= HIGH<REF(HIGH,1) AND LOW<REF(LOW,1);
AV02:= REF(HIGH,2) > HIGH AND REF(LOW,2) > LOW AND REF(HIGH,2) > REF(HIGH,1) AND REF(LOW,2) < REF(LOW,1);
AV1:= COUNT(AV00,4)>=2 AND HHVBARS(HIGH,4) = 1 AND AV01 AND C<=O;
AV2:= COUNT(AV00,5)>=2 AND HHVBARS(HIGH,5) = 2 AND AV02 AND C<=O;
AV3:= COUNT(AV00,5)>=2 AND HHVBARS(HIGH,5) = 1 AND AV01 AND C<=O;
AV4:= COUNT(AV00,6)>=2 AND HHVBARS(HIGH,6) = 2 AND AV02 AND C<=O;
顶分型:=AV1 OR AV2 OR AV3 OR AV4;
STICKLINE1(底分型,REF(H,1),REF(H,1),4,0),LINETHICK5,COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE1(顶分型,REF(L,1),REF(L,1),4,0),LINETHICK5,COLORBLUE;
VAR2:=VOL;
VAR4:=((OPI / VOL) / 100);
VAR17:=MA(CLOSE,5);
VAR18:=MA(CLOSE,6);
VAR19:=MA(CLOSE,7);
VAR20:=MA(CLOSE,8);
VAR21:=MA(CLOSE,9);
VAR22:=MA(CLOSE,10);
VAR23:=MA(CLOSE,11);
VAR24:=MA(CLOSE,12);
VAR25:=MA(CLOSE,13);
VAR26:=MA(CLOSE,14);
VAR27:=MA(CLOSE,15);
VAR28:=MA(CLOSE,16);
VAR29:=MA(CLOSE,17);
VAR30:=MA(CLOSE,18);
VAR31:=MA(CLOSE,19);
VAR32:=MA(CLOSE,20);
VAR33:=MA(CLOSE,21);
VAR34:=MA(CLOSE,22);
VAR35:=MA(CLOSE,23);
VAR36:=MA(CLOSE,24);
VAR37:=MA(CLOSE,25);
VAR38:=MA(CLOSE,26);
VAR39:=MA(CLOSE,27);
VAR40:=MA(CLOSE,28);
VAR41:=MA(CLOSE,29);
VAR42:=MA(CLOSE,30);
VAR43:=MA(CLOSE,31);
VAR44:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(VAR17,VAR18),VAR19),VAR20),VAR21);
VAR45:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(VAR22,VAR23),VAR24),VAR25),VAR26);
VAR46:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(VAR27,VAR28),VAR29),VAR30),VAR31);
VAR47:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(VAR32,VAR33),VAR34),VAR35),VAR36),VAR37);
VAR48:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(VAR38,VAR39),VAR40),VAR41),VAR42),VAR43);
VAR49:=MAX(MAX(MAX(MAX(VAR44,VAR45),VAR46),VAR47),VAR48);
VAR50:=IF((VAR49 = VAR17),5,IF((VAR49 = VAR18),6,IF((VAR49 = VAR19),7,IF((VAR49 = VAR20),8,IF((VAR49 = VAR21),9,IF((VAR49 = VAR22),10,IF((VAR49 = VAR23),11,IF((VAR49 = VAR24),12,IF((VAR49 = VAR25),13,IF((VAR49 = VAR26),14,IF((VAR49 = VAR27),15,IF((VAR49 = VAR28),16,IF((VAR49 = VAR29),17,IF((VAR49 = VAR30),18,IF((VAR49 = VAR31),19,IF((VAR49 = VAR32),20,IF((VAR49 = VAR33),21,IF((VAR49 = VAR34),22,IF((VAR49 = VAR35),23,IF((VAR49 = VAR36),24,IF((VAR49 = VAR37),25,NULL)))))))))))))))))))));
VAR51:=IF((VAR49 = MA(CLOSE,VAR50)),VAR50,IF((VAR49 = VAR38),26,IF((VAR49 = VAR39),27,IF((VAR49 = VAR40),28,IF((VAR49 = VAR41),29,IF((VAR49 = VAR42),30,IF((VAR49 = VAR43),31,32)))))));
VAR52:=IF((BARSCOUNT(CLOSE) >= 31),(((VAR49 * 3) + MA(CLOSE,31)) / 4),MAX(MA(CLOSE,5),MA(CLOSE,BARSCOUNT(CLOSE))));
VAR54:=(VAR2 = HHV(VAR2,VAR51));
VAR55:=REF(REF(LOW,BARSLAST(VAR54)),1);
VAR56:=REF(REF(VAR4,BARSLAST(VAR54)),1);
VAR57:=REF(REF(HIGH,BARSLAST(VAR54)),1);
VAR58:=((MAX(OPEN,CLOSE) / MIN(OPEN,CLOSE)) = HHV((MAX(OPEN,CLOSE) / MIN(OPEN,CLOSE)),VAR51));
VAR59:=(((OPEN / CLOSE) = HHV((OPEN / CLOSE),VAR51)) AND (CLOSE < OPEN));
VAR60:=((CLOSE / OPEN) = HHV((CLOSE / OPEN),VAR51));
VAR67:=REF(HHV(((((HIGH + CLOSE) + LOW) + HIGH) / 4),7),BARSLAST(CROSS(VAR22,VAR17)));
VAR68:=REF(LLV(MIN(OPEN,CLOSE),10),BARSLAST(CROSS(VAR17,VAR22)));
VAR69:=REF(HHV(MAX(CLOSE,OPEN),7),BARSLAST(CROSS(MA(CLOSE,10),MA(CLOSE,5))));
VAR70:=REF(LLV(MIN(CLOSE,OPEN),10),BARSLAST(CROSS(MA(CLOSE,5),MA(CLOSE,10))));
VAR71:=IF((CLOSE > 500),VAR69,VAR67),COLOR008080;
VAR72:=IF((CLOSE > 500),VAR70,VAR68),COLORFF0000;
DRAWKLINE1(H,O,L,C);
CROSS(HHS,0.5),WORD(0,'做多'),VALIGN0,COLORRED;
CROSSDOWN(HHS,0.5),WORD(1,'做空'),COLORGREEN;
CROSS(HHS,0.5),SOUND('A');
CROSSDOWN(HHS,0.5),SOUND('A');