回调反弹趋势策略是一种基于市场趋势和技术分析的投资方法,它试图利用市场的自然波动来捕捉价格回调后的买入机会或反弹后的卖出机会。这种策略适用于各种金融市场,包括股票、外汇和期货等。以下是关于回调反弹趋势策略系统的介绍:
策略原理
- 趋势识别:首先确定当前的市场趋势(上升趋势或下降趋势)。这可以通过多种技术指标实现,如移动平均线(MA)、趋势线、MACD(移动平均收敛/发散)等。
- 寻找回调:在确认了主要趋势之后,等待价格从主趋势方向上的极端位置回撤。例如,在一个上升趋势中,等待价格回落;在一个下降趋势中,等待价格反弹。
- 入场时机:当价格回调到一定程度,通常是支撑位或阻力位附近,并且显示出再次跟随主趋势运动的迹象时,投资者可以考虑入场。
关键要素
- 趋势确认:确保市场处于明确的趋势中,而非区间震荡。常用的方法是使用长期移动平均线作为趋势过滤器。
- 支撑与阻力:识别并标记关键的支撑和阻力水平,这些是潜在的回调目标区域。
- 动量指标:结合动量指标如RSI(相对强弱指数)或Stochastic Oscillator(随机振荡器),以帮助判断超买或超卖状态。
- 成交量:观察成交量的变化,上涨时伴随放量通常表明买盘强劲,而下跌时缩量可能意味着卖压减轻。
实施步骤
- 趋势定义:使用合适的工具定义当前趋势。
- 设置参数:设定回调幅度阈值以及进场点位。比如,如果是在上升趋势中,可能会选择当价格从高点回调至一定百分比后买入。
- 风险管理:设置止损单来限制潜在损失。对于每笔交易都应有明确的风险管理计划。
- 退出规则:制定具体的盈利目标或者根据新的趋势信号调整仓位。
注意事项
- 耐心等待:不要急于进入市场,要等到明确的回调结束信号出现。
- 严格遵守纪律:一旦触发止损条件,应当果断离场,避免情绪化决策。
- 适应性调整:随着市场环境变化,策略的具体细节可能需要适时调整。
- 组合使用:将此策略与其他技术分析工具相结合,以提高成功率。
回调反弹趋势策略适合那些能够客观分析市场走势并严格执行交易计划的投资者。重要的是要记住,任何策略都不保证总是成功的,因此持续的学习和适当的资本管理是非常重要的。
====================代码如下========================
TTN6:=(2*CLOSE+HIGH+LOW)/4;
TTN8:=LLV(LOW,34);
TTN11:=HHV(HIGH,34);
TTN12:=EMA((TTN6-TTN8)/(TTN11-TTN8)*100,13);
TTN13:=EMA(0.667*REF(TTN12,1)+0.333*TTN12,2);
E:=EMA(C,22);
TT1:=HHV(HIGH,9)-LLV(LOW,9);
TT2:=HHV(HIGH,9)-CLOSE;
TT3:=CLOSE-LLV(LOW,9);
TT4:=TT2/TT1*100-70;
TT5:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,60))/(HHV(HIGH,60)-LLV(LOW,60))*100;
TT6:=(2*CLOSE+HIGH+LOW)/4;
TT7:=SMA(TT3/TT1*100,3,1);
TT8:=LLV(LOW,34);
TT9:=SMA(TT7,3,1)-SMA(TT4,9,1);
TTA:=IF(TT9>100,TT9-100,0);
TTB:=HHV(HIGH,34);
AA1:=TTA*2;
BB1:=EMA((TT6-TT8)/(TTB-TT8)*100,13);
TTC:=EMA(0.667*REF(BB1,1)+0.333*BB1,2);
TTD:=SMA(AA1,2,1)-AA1;
TTE:=EMA(0.667*REF(BB1,1)+0.333*BB1,2)-BB1;
TT1A:=(HHV(HIGH,9)-CLOSE)/(HHV(HIGH,9)-LLV(LOW,9))*100-70;
TT2A:=SMA(TT1A,9,1)+100;
TT3A:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,9))/(HHV(HIGH,9)-LLV(LOW,9))*100;
TT4A:=SMA(TT3A,3,1);
TT5A:=SMA(TT4A,3,1)+100;
TT6A:=TT5A-TT2A;
S:=IF(TT6A>40,TT6A-40,0);
RSV1:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,35))/(HHV(HIGH,35)-LLV(LOW,35))*100;
K1:=SMA(RSV1,13,1);
D1:=SMA(K1,13,1);
RSV2:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,140))/(HHV(HIGH,140)-LLV(LOW,140))*100;
K2:=SMA(RSV2,46,1);
D2:=SMA(K2,46,1);
MA5:=MA(C,5);
EMA5:=EMA(CLOSE,5),COLORRED;
X:=(3*CLOSE+LOW+OPEN+HIGH)/6;
CQQSX:=(20*X+19*REF(X,1)+18*REF(X,2)+17*REF(X,3)+16*REF(X,4)+15*REF(X,5)+14*REF(X,6)+13*REF(X,7)+12*REF(X,8)+11*REF(X,9)+10*REF(X,10)+9*REF(X,11)+8*REF(X,12)+7*REF(X,13)+6*REF(X,14)+5*REF(X,15)+4*REF(X,16)+3*REF(X,17)+2*REF(X,18)+REF(X,20))/210, COLORRED;
A:=IF(HIGH>=REF(HIGH,1) AND HIGH>=REF(HIGH,2) AND HIGH>=REF(HIGH,3) AND HIGH>=REF(HIGH,4) AND HIGH>=REF(HIGH,5),LOW,0);
B:=IF(LOW<=REF(LOW,1) AND LOW<=REF(LOW,2) AND LOW<=REF(LOW,3) AND LOW<=REF(LOW,4) AND LOW<=REF(LOW,5),HIGH,888888);
P1:=IF(A>REF(LOW,1),REF(LOW,1),0);
P2:=IF(A>REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,1),REF(LOW,2),0);
P3:=IF(A>REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2),REF(LOW,3),0);
P4:=IF(A>REF(LOW,4) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3),REF(LOW,4),0);
P5:=IF(A>REF(LOW,5) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,4),REF(LOW,5),0);
P6:=IF(A>REF(LOW,6) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,4) AND A<=REF(LOW,5),REF(LOW,6),0);
P7:=IF(A>REF(LOW,7) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,4) AND A<=REF(LOW,5) AND A<=REF(LOW,6),REF(LOW,7),0);
P8:=IF(A>REF(LOW,8) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,4) AND A<=REF(LOW,5) AND A<=REF(LOW,6) AND A<=REF(LOW,7),REF(LOW,8),0);
P9:=IF(A>REF(LOW,9) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,4) AND A<=REF(LOW,5) AND A<=REF(LOW,6) AND A<=REF(LOW,7) AND A<=REF(LOW,8),REF(LOW,9),0);
P10:=IF(A>REF(LOW,10) AND A<=REF(LOW,1) AND A<=REF(LOW,2) AND A<=REF(LOW,3) AND A<=REF(LOW,4) AND A<=REF(LOW,5) AND A<=REF(LOW,6) AND A<=REF(LOW,7) AND A<=REF(LOW,8) AND A<=REF(LOW,9),REF(LOW,10),0);
AA:=EMA(C,5) > EMA(C,20);
BB:=EMA(C,5) < EMA(C,20);
CC:= EMA(C,5) > EMA(C,10);
CC1:=EMA(C,5) < EMA(C,10);
DD:=CLOSE<OPEN;
STICKLINE1(AA,O,C,3,1),COLORRED;
STICKLINE1(AA,MAX(O,C),H,0,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE1(AA,MIN(O,C),L,0,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE1(BB,MAX(O,C),H,0,0),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE1(BB,MIN(O,C),L,0,0),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE1(BB,O,C,3,1),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE1(BB AND DD,O,C,3,0),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE1(BB AND CC,MAX(O,C),H,0,1),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE1(BB AND CC,MIN(O,C),L,0,1),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE1(BB AND CC,O,C,3,1),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE1(BB AND CC AND DD,O,C,3,0),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE1(AA AND CC1,MAX(O,C),H,0,0),COLORWHITE;
STICKLINE1(AA AND CC1,MIN(O,C),L,0,0),COLORWHITE;
STICKLINE1(AA AND CC1,O,C,3,1),COLORWHITE;
STICKLINE1(AA AND CC1 AND DD,O,C,3,0),COLORYELLOW;
HD:=FILTER(BACKSET(FILTER(REF(H,10)=HHV(H,2*10+1),10),10+1),10);
LD:=FILTER(BACKSET(FILTER(REF(L,10)=LLV(L,2*10+1),10),10+1),10);
ZHICHENG:=REF(LOW,BARSLAST(LD)),COLOR008000,POINTDOT,LINETHICK3;
YALI:=REF(HIGH,BARSLAST(HD)),COLORFF0000,POINTDOT,LINETHICK3;
STICKLINE1(ZHICHENG=REF(ZHICHENG,1),ZHICHENG,ZHICHENG,2,0),COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK3;
STICKLINE1(YALI=REF(YALI,1),YALI,YALI,2,0),COLORRED,LINETHICK3;
SAR111:=SAR(7,2,10);
MI1:=C-REF(C,1);
MI:=MI1;
AMI:=SMA(MI,3,1);
F:=MA(REF(AMI,1),10)-MA(REF(AMI,1),20);
D:=SMA(F,10,1);
TT912:=MA(CLOSE,5);
TT913:=MA(CLOSE,10);
TT914:=MA(CLOSE,20);
TT915:=MA(CLOSE,30);
TT916:=(TT912+TT913+TT914+TT915)/4;
TT917:=(TT916-REF(TT916,13))/REF(TT916,13)*100;
TT918:=(TT916-REF(TT916,13))/REF(TT916,13)*100;
TT919:=EMA(TT917,7);
DRAWBMP(FILTER(TT917<1*REF(TT917,1) AND TT919>1*REF(TT919,1),4),H*1,'钥匙'),COLORYELLOW;
MID :=MA(CLOSE,18);
UPPER:=MID + 2*STD(CLOSE,18);
LOWER:=MID - 2*STD(CLOSE,18);
BBZ:=CROSS(C,LOWER) ;
SSZ:=CROSS(UPPER,C) ;
ATR:=MA(H-L,60)/2;
DRAWTEXT(BBZ,L-ATR,'反弹'),COLORCYAN,VALIGN0;
DRAWTEXT(SSZ,H+ATR,'回调'),COLORYELLOW,VALIGN2;
HX:=HHV(HIGH,3);
LX:=LLV(LOW,3);
H1:=IFELSE(HX<REF(HX,1)&&HX<REF(HX,2)&&HX<REF(HX,4)&&LX<REF(LX,1)&&LX<REF(LX,3)&&LX<REF(LX,5)&&OPEN>CLOSE&&(HHV(OPEN,0)-CLOSE)>0,REF(HX,4),0);
L1:=IFELSE(LX>REF(LX,1)&&LX>REF(LX,3)&&LX>REF(LX,5)&&HX>REF(HX,1)&&HX>REF(HX,2)&&HX>REF(HX,4)&&OPEN<CLOSE&&(CLOSE-LLV(OPEN,0))>0,REF(LX,4),0);
H2:=VALUEWHEN(H1>0,H1);
L2:=VALUEWHEN(L1>0,L1);
K111:=IFELSE(CLOSE>H2,-3,IFELSE(CLOSE<L2,1,0));
K222:=VALUEWHEN(K111<>0,K111);
STICKLINE1(AA AND DD,O,C,3,0),COLORRED;
TMP:=K222;
MA55:MA(CLOSE,55),RGB(255,128,64),LINETHICK2;
DRAWTEXT(CROSS(TMP,0)&&CLOSE<=MA55 ,HX,'做空为主'),COLORGREEN,VALIGN2;
DRAWTEXT(CROSS(0,TMP)&&CLOSE>=MA55 ,LX,'做多为主'),COLORMAGENTA,VALIGN0;
TT63:=(2*C+H+L)/4;
TT73:=LLV(L,27);
TT93:=HHV(H,27);
SS1:=EMA((TT63-TT73)/(TT93-TT73)*100,13)-50;
TT81:=EMA(EMA(CLOSE,9),9);
SS2:=(TT81-REF(TT81,1))/REF(TT81,1)*1000;
SMA9:=SMA(C,9,1),COLORGREEN,LINETHICK2;
PARTLINE1(SMA9>MA55,SMA9),COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
PARTLINE1(SMA9<MA55,SMA9),COLORGREEN,LINETHICK2;